Prediction of Hugo Gaston vs Borna Gojo at Roanne Challenger 10-09-25

• In recent months, Borna Gojo has edged out Hugo Gaston in second serve performance, winning 46.66% of points compared to Gaston's 45.31%. Could this small advantage be pivotal in their upcoming match?
• When it comes to returning their opponent's serves, Gaston has a slight advantage. He has secured 46.38% of second serve return points, compared to Gojo's 44.71%.
• Gaston also shows superiority in first serve returns, with a win percentage of 27.18% versus Gojo's 25.00%.
• In tense moments, Gaston has saved 55.38% of breakpoints, marginally better than Gojo's 53.69%, making him more resilient under pressure.
• Looking at general performance over the past year, Gojo has a higher match-winning rate of 60.98% compared to Gaston's 43.86%.
• Surfaces matter too. Gojo excels on Hard courts with a 61% win rate, while Gaston thrives on Clay with an identical 61% win percentage.
• Gojo primarily competes in Challengers/ITF tournaments, where he has a strong winning percentage of 73.91%. Meanwhile, Gaston battles on the Main tour, albeit with a lower success rate of 33.33%.
• Their head-to-head record shows Gojo leading, having won their sole match, which took place on Clay.
• Considering opponent quality, Gaston has faced more highly-ranked players, with an average opponent rank of 140.02 compared to Gojo's 259.02.
• If the match progresses to a deciding set, Gaston holds a slight edge, winning 47% of deciding sets in the past year compared to Gojo's 44%.

Editorial Prediction (October 8, 2025, UTC):

As the match approaches, Borna Gojo shows a slight edge in several categories. His marginally better second serve performance is one of the key metrics bearing in his favor.

However, Hugo Gaston demonstrates exceptional resilience in returning serves, particularly under pressure situations. This could prove crucial in determining the match's outcome.

While Gojo generally enjoys higher success rates and holds the head-to-head advantage, Gaston’s experience against tougher opponents might equip him better for high-stakes encounters.

Given these factors, although the match appears closely contested on paper, Borna Gojo is projected as the slight favorite to win based on recent performance and past encounters.